India and the Rafale Dassault
why India went for Rafales rather than Su-35 or Eurofighter Typhoon or F-16 Viper?
1-For Su-35 now this is an
interesting fighter since many think that after the success of Su-30MKI , India
should have went for Su-35. First of all we need to understand that Su-30MKI
filled in the niche for air superiority fighters which was more than
satisfactory for IAF. Even though some 60 Su-35 ( with 40 further one ) were
offered by Russia , India turned down the proposal as it was strengthened quite
enough in Air Superiority aspect. What it wanted next was an Omnirole
Medium-Combat Aircraft which can take on Strike roles as well in which Su-30MKI
or Su-35 was severly lacking.
Indian Air Force also realized that
it can bring on its Flankers to the level of Su-35 with the help of a Super
Sukhoi upgrade which will add an AESA Radar , more advanced avionics and better
weapons to it. The need for additional flankers when one type filled in all
requirements , was effectively nullified. Also PAK FA/FGFA was on cards then ,
hence India did not pay much attention on ordering further Flankers of another
type.
IAF was keen on getting Rafales due
to much needed political leverage it was offered from France ( which supported
India on 1998 Pokhran Tests ) and the advanced ecosystem for aircrafts which
will be developed in India by Dassault which includes off-sets clauses. Rafale
was a completely new platform unlike Su-35 which were based on 1970s-era
airframe , with ultra-modern avionics , weapons suite , sensors and strike
capabilities. India had operated Dassault aircrafts earlier too and well knew
how they performed. Rafale had a a very low RCS making it semi-stealthy , had
an AESA radar , much better after-sales support and maintainability keeping
most of the fleet operational at any given period of time. hence we went for Rafales which would give us
a technological edge over our adversaries
2-For F-16 Viper or Eurofighter In the same way that it is true that
Rafale lost several competitions through no fault of its own, it must be
recognized that its victory in India was also won, to a great extent, through
no fault of its own. The real reason for its victory is political, and the long
memory of Indian politicians was a major contributing factor.
This is not to say, however, that
Rafale’s own impressive qualities had nothing to do with its selection. The
Indian Air Force, which was extensively briefed by the French air force in the
autumn, was particularly impressed by its operational performance during the
Libyan bombing campaign and in Afghanistan. Rafale also has a naval variant
which could be of future interest to India, given its plans to buy and build
aircraft carriers, while the recent decision to upgrade India’s Mirage 2000H
fighters will simplify the air force’s logistics chain, as these will share
with Rafale many weapons and other equipment.
To Indian officials, France’s
steadfastness as a military ally contrasted strongly with that of the United
States, which stopped F-16 deliveries to Pakistan (but kept the money) when it
found it expedient to do so, and slowed or vetoed delivery of components for
Light Combat Aircraft that India was developing. And, of course, the 1998 arms
embargo, decreed by the US after India’s nuclear test in May of that year, left
a very bad taste in Indian mouths. France, on the contrary, was the only
Western nation not to impose sanctions on that occasion.
That, Indian sources say, was New
Delhi’s real reason for eliminating Boeing and Lockheed Martin from the fighter
competition; India has resolved, these sources say, to buy only second-line
equipment from the U.S., such as transport (C-17, C-130J) or maritime patrol
aircraft (P-8I). Vital weapons such as missiles and fighters, when they cannot
be locally produced, will remain the preserve of France and Russia.
Political considerations were also a
significant factor playing against Rafale’s final competitor, the Eurofighter
Typhoon. As this aircraft is produced by a consortium of four nations, each
with different foreign policies and different attitudes and tolerances to arms
exports, Indian officials were a bit nervous about their ultimate reliability
as a single supplier.
Germany is a long-standing Indian
aviation partner, and a respected role model for Indian politicians, many of
whom were educated there. German companies – essentially the former
Messerschmitt-Boelkow-Blohm, now part of EADS - helped Hindustan Aeronautics
Ltd. develop both the LCA and the Advanced Light Helicopter, now called Dhruv.
These links were the reason the Eurofighter bid was led by Germany’s Cassidian,
and not BAE Systems, the former colonial power. But Germany had dithered over
technology transfer for LCA, soft-pedaled on ALH tech transfer when German
pacifists raised their eyebrows, and coughed when India almost went to war with
Pakistan over Kargil and Kashmir, so in the final analysis it could not be
considered a reliable supplier of major weapons.
Italy has never sold a major weapon
to India, and so could bring neither influence nor reputation to support
Eurofighter, while the third partner, Spain, is totally absent from the Indian
military landscape.
This left BAE Systems as the
best-known Eurofighter partner in India, and so by default as its ultimate
public face. BAE in 2003 sold £1.5 billion’s worth of Hawk jet trainers to
India, with a follow-on, £500 million order in 2010. However, its previous
major sale to India was the Jaguar light attack aircraft in the 1970s. In fact,
this aircraft was jointly developed by Britain and France on a 50/50 basis, and
while it was license-produced by HAL it was never really successful as a
fighter. Furthermore, France could claim as much benefit from its Indian career
as BAE.
Taken together, the Eurofighter
partner nations posed an even thornier problem: in case of war, German law
prohibits deliveries of weapons and spares, Italian law and public opinions
would demand an embargo, while Spanish legislation is murky. What would happen,
Indian politicians must have wondered, if after buying the Eurofighter they
went to war? Would spares and weapons be forthcoming, or would they be
embargoed? The political risk was obviously too big to take.
Weapons also played a significant
role in persuading India to opt for Rafale: not only is its weapons range mostly
French-made, and thus not subject to a third-party embargo, but so are all of
its sensors. Eurofighter, whose air-to-air missiles include the US-made AIM-120
Amraam and the German-led IRIS-T, and whose primary air-to-ground weapon is the
US-made Paveway, was obviously at a competitive disadvantage in this respect.
Furthermore, the Rafale is
nuclear-capable and will replace the Mirage 2000N in French service as the
carrier of the newly-upgraded ASMP/A nuclear stand-off missile; it is also
capable of firing the AM-39 Exocet missile, giving it an anti-ship capability
that its competitors do not have. India is also interested in fitting its
BrahMos supersonic missile to a wide range of its combat aircraft, and Rafale
could apparently carry it.
Given that India had sworn to buy
the cheapest compliant competitor, it would have been unable to justify picking
the Rafale had this not been offered at the lower price. While official figures
have not been released, and indeed may never be, initial reports from New Delhi
claim that Rafale was offered at a unit price of $4-$5 million less than
Eurofighter, which is a surprisingly large advantage given the French
aircraft’s reputation of being high-priced.
The French offer also featured
substantially lower costs of ownership, according to the same reports, thanks
to lower fuel consumption and simpler maintenance requirements.
If true, these figures imply the
French offer undercut Eurofighter by over $600 million, which is a large enough
difference for one French insider to wonder whether Dassault Aviation will ever
make any money on the contract.
But, even if it doesn’t, the Indian
contract gives Rafale instant legitimacy, not only because of the thoroughness
and transparency of the bidding process, but also because India is the only
country to have fought four and a half major wars since 1948, and so knows
something about air combat.
For Dassault, the Rafale program
will now remain active, with a stabilized production line, for decades to come,
and the company will have that much more time to find additional customers.
Keeping its production line and supply chain humming at an economically-viable
rate are sufficiently valuable achievements to push immediate profits into the
sidelines. Supporting 126 – and possibly 206, if India buys an optional second
batch – combat aircraft, and providing spares, fixes and upgrades over the next
40 years, will generate gigantic profits, and this more than justified lowering
Dassault’s notoriously high profit margins.
In fact, as one industry official
noted, "this is France's answer to 'Al Yamamah', but with twice as many
aircraft," drawing a parallel with the UK's sale of Tornado fighters and
related services to Saudi Arabia, which was instrumental in keeping BAE Systems
prosperous throughout the 1980s and 1990s.
And, as French Defense Minister
Gérard Longuet told reporters during an impromptu press conference in
Parliament, France may soon find “that good news travels in formation,”
implying that further, long-deferred contracts might soon be announced.
No comments