Modern Warfare

History :

The Sino-Indian War also known as the border dispute between China and India. The war began on 20 October 1962 and ended with the victory of China on 21 November 1962. The border in the disputed Himalayas was a major pretext for war. There were a series of violent border incidents after the Tibetan uprising of 1959 when India granted asylum to the Dalai Lama.

The war actually began with a Chinese attack on what was known as the McMahon Line.

The situation on the border between the two sides is again worsening and this time India wants to rehabilitate itself.

The War :

The Indian military will go on full alert and will deploy tanks, troops, Land Attack Cruise Missiles, and bring its air force closer to the border closer to the Chinese border in Arunachal Pradesh, Aksai Chin and Ladakh region.

The vast flat valleys in the Ladakh area will allow for armored movement by both sides across the border.

China will reciprocate and deploy its ground forces on the border, and the Chinese Air force in the Tibet region will launch airstrikes against Indian troops along the McMahon line- Arunachal Pradesh/ Zangnan- Aksai Chin area.

Also, a contingent of Chinese fleets would deploy to the Greater Indian Ocean to confront the Indian Navy which may attempt to block Chinese oil supplies from entering the Strait of Malacca. China would utilize a large fleet of frigates, destroyers, Aircraft carriers, and submarines due to the vast Indian Ocean.

The U.S, Russia, Pakistan, North Korea, Japan, Taiwan, and South Korea will go on high alert, to match the posture of the Chinese armies.

Possible Situation of the United States :

The U.S. military will go on full alert in Japan, South Korea, the Persian Gulf, Al Adeed Air Base, Guam and Diego Garcia. U.S. spy satellites will be monitoring nuclear silos in China, India, North Korea, and Pakistan. The U.S. will support India in the conflict by blockading the Strait of Malacca with its aircraft carriers, submarines, and destroyers; thereby obstructing China’s oil supplies.

The response of the Chinese will be to send its frigates, destroyers, conventional diesel-electric submarines and nuclear-powered attack submarines to the Indian Ocean where it would be vulnerable to the U.S. and Indian Missile Batteries. Military pressure on China would mount as it combats the U.S. and India in the Indian Ocean. It is likely to be a fierce war between the two sides, and China it has suffered heavy losses.

aircraft carriers enable the American military to project force almost anywhere in the world. Some experts worry that they are vulnerable to attack by China. But as Loren Thompson of the Lexington Institute has pointed out, aircraft carriers are hard to find and tough to sink. As Thompson writes, "The bottom line is that China is nowhere near overcoming the hurdles required for successful attacks against US aircraft carriers"

Oil prices skyrocket as the Indian Ocean and the Strait of Malacca, the busiest oil shipping route, is blocked off, the stock markets around the world will tumble very hard, and inflation will swell.

Possible Situation of Russia:

If it sides with Beijing its strategic and economic partner, India will ally with Japan, and South Korea; with the support of US Military Power. Russia would stay out of the fight.

The news media around the world will broadcast the conflict.The world will expect a third world war, but this time it will be devastating to the planet.There will be a global protest to end the war. The UN Security Council will convene an emergency session within days. Russia will lead the efforts to end the war. The U.S would blame China for the conflict.

As the war drags on, China will use its land and sea-based missiles on Indian cities and troops. India will target Chinese cities as well. Pakistan will be tempted to join China as Indian towns suffer significant damages. Pakistan will hope this will enable them to take over Kashmir finally.

The Consequences :

Total casualty: lot of millions dead.

China’s economy will suffer; revolt will start in Tibet and Hong Kong leading to its breakdown like USSR. India’s economy will suffer worse than China, especially in North East India.

The United States will be victorious. No China to challenge them militarily or economically in the long run, Taiwan will declare independence knowing that Beijing won’t respond.

The Chinese and Indian military power will be significantly diminished. And there will be a global economic depression.

The limits of Chinese military power today :

China has gone from spending about $20 billion each year on its military to spending about $250 billion each year. But despite China's increase in military spending, the US continues to spend far more money. It's hard to take in just what $650 billion means.

China has three foreign bases, in Djibouti, Tajikistan, and Cambodia (The Djibouti base is openly acknowledged, while the other two are open secrets).

China's ability to defend its borders and periphery has dramatically increased in recent decades. Newly-built artificial islands in the South China Sea function something like stationary aircraft carriers. China's small number of nuclear-powered submarines is offset, in part, by a large fleet of diesel-electrics. The balance of power in Asia is distinctly different than it was a generation ago.

Consider that in 2018 the US government paid Lockheed Martin (the largest defense contractor) $40.5 billion, considerably more than Brazil's total military budget of $30.7 billion. The minimum size of the classified US defense and intelligent budget is $81 billion, which is to say the US spends considerably more in secret than the entire Russian military budget of $61 billion. The total defense budget of Italy—the world's 8th-largest economy—is $26 billion. This is about the same as the annual amount of bureaucratic waste in Department of Defense spending ($25 billion) that McKinsey found in an audit it performed at the Pentagon's request.